Chapter Thirty One

Customer Development

The concept of customer development is to make existing customers as valuable and profitable as possible. What are the tactics associated with customer development and what are the kinds of things that companies do to create and attract more value from their existing customers? We will consider four different tactics.
The first tactic is cross-selling, or the idea of getting customers to buy more than just the particular product that they are interested in. In many fast food restaurants, we hear servers asking, “Do you want fries with that?” Another common example occurs when getting an oil change. The mechanic asks “would you like the air filter changed and the tires rotated?” Both are examples of cross-selling as it encourages people to buy other products or services. Suggested products can either be from the same product or similar product categories. The picture above shows Amazon's recommendations for similar products and different product categories. Cross-selling isn't about manipulating customers and is most effective when you stick to extra items the customer would have a genuine interest in acquiring. Items that are well–connected to their original choice. Step over that almost invisible line, and you'll look pushy and transparent, but if you stay safely within the boundaries of relevance and restraint, customers appreciate the suggestion. For example; Apple's iTunes store for music offers a list of “others who purchased this song also bought these songs” for sampling. A service that introduces their customers to Music and Musicians they otherwise might never have encountered. The wonderful aspect of their recommendation is the ability to sample the music.
The second tactic is up-selling. The classic fast food example is, do you want to super-size it? Up-selling is the attempt to get people to buy a higher margin version of the same item. This tactic is common not just in fast food but in financial services and many industries. You shop for a Jeep Wrangler, and the salesperson makes you aware of the advantages of the four-door Wrangler. A common upsell tactic in devices and appliances is suggesting an extended service contract. This tactic can present the customer with difficult choices. For example when the recommended upgraded product has dubious benefits. When replacing a tire, the customer is asked whether they want the longer life tire. A commodity they are likely to not have expertise with and their decision is based on their trust in the advice of the sales person.
The third tactic is frequency, the attempt to get people to buy more often. This is one reason why companies use loyalty programs. The goal is not for the customer to buy this product one time but to buy it on a frequent basis. This a common source of customer development. A familiar tactic is to send the customer reminders. My pharmacist sends text messages when hay fever season is approaching with a reminder to fill my prescription. The dentist sends a reminder card that you are due for cleaning. The frequency tactic is also effective for commodities that exhibit wear or styling changes. House paint, roof shingles, tire rotation, and jeans are examples. Patagonia has turned the tactic around with it's Worn Wear campaign; “One of the most responsible things we can do as a company is to make high-quality stuff that lasts for years and can be repaired, so you don’t have to buy more of it.”

SoulCycle

SoulCycle describes itself as a “lifestyle brand that strives to empower their riders in an immersive fitness experience.”

Picture of a soulcycle group Picture of a soulcycle2 group

If you are not hovering over the keys of your computer precisely at noon on Monday, when the next week’s classes are released—or do not want to pay $3,500 for a “SuperSoul ” series of 50 classes (at $70 a pop) that gives early access to reservations—then you’re often resigned to waiting-list purgatory. “I would do anything that I could to afford these rides, ” says 27-year-old Jaime, who often takes thirteen classes a week (estimated cost: $21,632 per year). She’s arranged her schedule to have Mondays off work so that she can always be at her computer the moment classes are released. She counts her instructors among her closest friends. Her social life revolves around people she’s met at SoulCycle. The typically 45-minute-long stationary-bike classes combine hard pedaling, weightlifting, house music, candles, and inspirational phrases: “Athlete. Legend. Warrior. Renegade. Rockstar. SoulCycle, ” reads one of the mantras on the studios' walls and merchandise. Across the country, classes allegedly get 10,000 riders per day and 20,000 per week that connect to the communal power of the classes. The company also sells $54 T-shirts, $78 sweatpants and $58 tote bags with the SoulCycle logo stamped on them. Its apparel has “become the uniform of choice both inside and outside the studios. Our silver retail bags can be found in airports, on street corners and in households across the country.” The company boasts of a big social media presence, saying that it had more than 70,000 Instagram followers, 53,000 Facebook fans, 36,000 Twitter followers and 18,000 Spotify followers.
SoulCycle manages customer retention though “the communal power of their classes.” They cross- sell clothing and upsell the “SuperSoul” series of 50 classes. And they promote the benefits of frequent visits. Soulcycle will soon be a public company which will provide visibility on their ability to retain customers over a long period of time.
The fourth tactic is managed margins . Where different customers pay a unique price for the same product or service. Some companies are hesitant to do use this tactic. Ironically, this is exactly what happens when volume or senior discounts are offered. Although, when we consider customer-centricity this tactic at times makes a lot of sense.
Amazon, in October 2015 opened its first brick and mortar location, an unimpressive shop in an outdoor mall in Seattle. The store sells mostly books, with some magazines and a central aisle of electronics, including its Kindle, Kindle Fire, and FireTV products as well as a few accessories like headphones. Every book has a shelf tag that includes a capsule review from the Amazon website, a star rating, and a barcode. There are no prices listed.
To get the price, you scan the code with the camera of your smartphone and the Amazon app. If you don’t have a smartphone or the app installed, an associate can do it for you. This brings up the product page for the item you’re looking at, with full reviews, specs and pricing. If you are signed into the app with your account – as is likely – Amazon is immediately able to associate its online customer records with you, the customer browsing the shelves in its physical location. It knows your preferences, your buying history, your status as an Amazon Prime, and/or Amazon credit card member, and who knows what else. Armed with that data, it can feed you recommendations, offer coupons and incentives, and do whatever it needs to do to close the sale as you are holding an item in your hand that you are considering purchasing. That may eventually include offering you a personalized price that represents the company’s best guess at what you’d be willing to pay, based on what it knows about you and the context in which you are shopping (for example, is it holiday time, or close to a loved one’s birthday?). reference Forbes
What metric do firms use to gauge and guide their development activities? A variety of metrics are used, but again, the basic question is how well-developed is this customer for the firm? Alternatively, look at it the other way around and ask, how well developed is this firm in the customer's mind or the customer's wallet? A common metric that is used here is share of wallet. How many customers' needs for a particular product or service, or for the category as a whole, are met by this firm. Some firms take into account the number of different products and services that the customer has already. As a very specific example, Chase Bank, a big retail bank is obsessed over the number of services per customer. We could ask the CEO at any given moment what's the average number of services per customer, and how does that number vary over time or how does it vary across customer groups? He understands that customer development and share of wallet are certainly critical as they're very closely related to each other. Chase bank branches are staffed with greeters skilled in introducing new or additional services. The share of wallet metric is important to understand. We want to understand the interrelationship between share of wallet, how well developed we are with the customer and size of wallet or overall Customer Lifetime Value (CLV)

Customer lifetime value, can also be defined as the dollar value of a customer relationship, based on the present value of the projected future cash flows from the customer relationship.

Differences exist among people, either in terms of observable characteristics, such as demographics or behavior or in terms of unobservable characteristics, such as preferences or purchase intent. Just how much value does this customer have. Research studies have looked at the interplay of size of wallet and share of wallet. They have concluded there seems to be no systematic relationship between share of wallet and size of wallet. Therefore, share of wallet is largely independent of size of wallet. In other words, a well-developed customer isn't necessarily more valuable than a less developed customer. This is a very significant point as it suggests that while we want to develop our customers, at the margin, we prefer our customers to be more valuable to us. Understand though it doesn't necessarily maintain a real strong causal relationship with overall CLV.
Let’s review another quote that nicely summarizes the good news and the bad news regarding cross selling and other customer development activities. The good news is if we maintain a really high share with the customer, and they purchase a lot from us in one category, then they are likely to buy from us in other categories. For instance, if we sell them a checking account, chances are we can get them to get a savings account from us as well. That's the good news. The bad news is this suggests that some customers just inherently love us and this is heterogeneity. One customer may buy everything offered, while another customer may take it or leave it. A customer may purchase a particular service from us but they are not necessarily going to become better customers all of a sudden if additional services are offered to them. Ideally, customer development requires up-selling and cross-selling. For example, do you want fries with that or do you want to super-size that? Companies will continue to seek opportunities to create and extract a little more value from their customers. Many of them believe that these developmental activities will systematically and fundamentally change the overall value of their customers. For the most part, this is untrue, but on the whole, development activities are good. Development activities are like icing on the cake, but they're not necessarily going to fundamentally change the nature of the customers. They enable businesses to create and extract more value than they would have had otherwise but do not necessarily change the customer.
Some companies would disagree with this and say, “you know what, we put this offer in front of the customer and not only did they take it, but they bought lots of other things as well.” This may be true, but here is the point. Heterogeneity suggests that this customer was actually pretty valuable all along or had high potential value all along. As a company, we’re unable to see it and to unlock it. So, the company is going to do these development activities not to fundamentally change the customer, but finding out what kind of value they already had locked in them and help the business unlock it to fully enjoy it. That's why businesses have to do development activities, but it doesn't necessarily change customers. Now, if we combine all three tactics, acquisition, retention, development and go back and ask the question again, if we had that one extra dollar to spend, where would we spend it — acquisition, retention or development? As we learned, most people and most companies, downplay acquisition and really focus on retention and development. There is no way we want to minimize the importance of retention or development, but at the margin we should focus on acquisition. Again, this reflects customer-centric thinking that is very different from the traditional product-centric thinking. That's why thinking in a customer-centric manner and focusing on understanding heterogeneity can lead to dramatically different conclusions. This is not always true and should not be considered the golden rule. If we are in a very competitive market and we’ve basically saturated the market, every customer, every potential customer has already been acquired and sometimes worked with multiple firms, then focusing the extra dollar on acquisition might not make the most sense. The only customers who are left out there are probably customers that aren't very valuable and other companies were willing to let them go.
There are lots of exceptions to this general advice, and again, if we're in a saturated market, hanging on to really valuable customers is going to make more sense than acquiring new ones. Although, in general, for most companies and for most markets, when there's a lot of customers still out there who haven't been fully evaluated by different companies, at the margin, an acquisition strategy makes more sense. More importantly, instead of reading how to spend money, we should be thinking about some of these marginal decisions. Understanding the tradeoffs between acquisition, retention, development will shed light on the conventional wisdom that we associate with some of these tradeoffs. Conventional wisdom suggests that it costs more money to acquire a new customer than to retain one. Many companies work really hard to keep the ones that they have and it makes a lot of sense. It probably does cost more to acquire a new customer, especially a good new customer, than to retain existing customers, but let’s dig deeper.
Traditionally, we're spending too much time, and more importantly too much money, retaining customers who aren't really that valuable. It may be better reaching a little bit higher, spending a little bit of money to find a customer or a group of customers who might actually be more valuable than some of those customers we're spending so much time trying to keep and develop. Again, the conventional wisdom might be right, but when we take this forward-looking value-oriented perspective -- if we're focusing more on CLV, as opposed to CPA -- then this kind of conventional wisdom won't impact us that much. Businesses should not be cheap or lazy about this perspective. By figuring out where the valuable customers, valuable potential customers reside, and doing what it takes to get them on board, then nature can take its course. Businesses should spend time retaining them and businesses should ask them if they want fries with that. Although better customers are going to naturally stick around longer, they're going to naturally buy more products and services from us and the gains will be realized in the long run. They'll be worth the investment.
The writer, like many at one time, had a landline phone provided by AT&T. With the introduction of the iPhone by Apple I needed to choose a carrier for wireless service. The media was filled with promotions, charts and graphs of coverage, and reports of dropped service. As I was familiar with AT&T I choose AT&T as my carrier. The number one reason, trust. Since the initial service, AT&T began to offer additional services. U-verse TV and Internet/WiFi service. The decision was made easier when at the time to make a decision AT&T installed glass fiber lines to a box on the edge of my property. The coup de grace was accomplished when they added new offerings to their cable TV package that appealed to my family.
These are some of the tradeoffs between acquisition, retention, and development. Customer centricity is a celebration of heterogeneity. By really understanding, by measuring and fully appreciating heterogeneity, it brings a new light on acquisition, retention, and development. The greatest opportunities to improve customer profitability is through smart acquisition . Instead of venturing out and bringing in a bunch of customers as cheaply as possible, businesses can be smarter and look at customers, fully utilize all the data that they have on them and understand how, when and where to acquire them, so they can pursue the most valuable customers. Now retention and development are essential. Again, a lot of attention is spent towards flighty customers who are likely to leave anyway, and it's going to cost a lot of money to keep them coming. We're going to have to keep spending over and over and over again. While businesses are tempted to do that, when they have these customers in their hand and want to maintain or build on the relationships they have with them, if they're not that great then it's going to be really hard, expensive and frustrating to keep them around. Businesses need to spend appropriately on retention and indeed on development. We always want to ask that great question; “Do you want fries with that?” We always want to try different kinds of development activities to fundamentally change customers. The final piece of that is let's not worry so much about conventional product-centric wisdom that we often use to run our marketing activities. Let's think about future looking customer value, CLV, and that's going to lead us to some very different kinds of decisions.

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